Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Abha		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.52
	2.49	3.37	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.52	3.14	2.52	Watch
	2.66	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.57)	3.15 ↓ (3.32)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abha
35.6%

Draw
28.6%

Al-Diriyah
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Abha have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Abha - Al Diriyah Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Jadani A. (C) 14. Al Ghamdi F. 3. Gaari J. 4. Abuyabes M. 23. Al Oufi M. 8. Al Daajani N. 6. Taira A. 79. Al Jayzani F. 77. Agi 10. Al Mutairi M. 88. Sow S.	23. Al Otaibi N. (G) 12. Wadi T. 2. Al Faraj A. 15. Colley O. 21. Hameran M. 8. Al Qahtani Z. 17. Diandy C. 5. Al Farhan S. 14. Rodriguez O. 7. Marega M. 9. Laborde G.
Substitutes
21. Al Bouq A. (G) 93. Al Manhali S. 66. Al Mousa H. 28. Al Mutairi B. 20. Al Shammari H. 9. Al Sulays H. 25. Asiri W. 12. Ibrahim Y. Y.	33. Abdullah W. (G) 10. Al Dossari A. 29. Al Dossari F. 20. Al Jaafari A. 6. Al Qarni I. 77. Al Saeed S. 80. Al Shahrani A. 44. Al Zaaqi N. 82. Al Zarie H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Sow S. ⚽, Al Mutairi M. (A),
14', Al Qahtani Z. 🟨,
35', Taira A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Laborde G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Al Mutairi M. ⚽,
58', Al Oufi M. 🟨,
62', Al Qahtani Z. ↓, Al Qarni I. ↑,
65', Al Qarni I. 🟨,
67', Al Daajani N. ↓, Ibrahim Y. Y. ↑,
72', 🟨,
74', Wadi T. ↓, Al Jaafari A. ↑,
81', Al Faraj A. 🟨,
84', Hameran M. ↓, Al Zarie H. ↑,
84', Al Farhan S. ↓, Al Saeed S. ↑,
88', Rodriguez O. 🟨,
88', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
90', Al Mutairi M. ↓, Boumedmed K. ↑,
90', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Mutairi B. ↑,
90+3', Al Oufi M. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Abha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Including home match between the teams, Abha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
31.12.25	Al-Batin - Abha	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Abha - Al-Taee	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Jeddah - Abha	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Abha - Al-Ula	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Abha - Al-Bukayriyah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTWT
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
31.12.25	Al-Diriyah - Al Jubail	5:2 ✺
26.12.25	Al Raed - Al-Diriyah	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Zulfi	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
26.12.14	Abha - Al-Diriyah	2:2

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