Match Info

Lebanese Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)


	Al-Ahed		Hekmeh

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.35	7.4
	1.36	4.28	8.18	Watch
	1.36	4.33	6.5
	1.4	4.54	6.81
	1.36	4.25	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.36)	4.35 ↑ (4.31)	7.18 ↑ (7.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
66.5%

Draw
20.9%

Hekmeh
12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al-Ahed have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Hekmeh have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hekmeh than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Al Ahed - Hekmeh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 2.

Al-Ahed is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hekmeh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Ahed is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Al-Ahed will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
06.02.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Racing Beirut - Al-Ahed	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Al-Ahed - Al-Abbassieh	0:1 ✺
Lebanese Cup
18.01.26	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
25.12.25	Bourj - Al-Ahed	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Hekmeh FC
Lebanese Premier League
06.02.26	Hekmeh - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Hekmeh	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Racing Beirut - Hekmeh	0:2 ✺
Lebanese Cup
17.01.26	Hekmeh - Al-Mabarrah	2:1 penalties ✺
Lebanese Premier League
27.12.25	Nejmeh - Hekmeh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
07.11.25	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	1:3
16.07.25	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	3:1
20.06.25	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	2:2
07.05.25	Al-Ahed - Hekmeh	1:2
07.02.25	Al-Ahed - Hekmeh	3:1
26.08.23	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	1:2
Lebanese Federation Cup
07.07.23	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	0:2

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