Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Al-Ansar Beirut		Shabab Al Sahel

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.85	9.6	Watch
	1.27	4.97	10.21	Watch
	1.25	4.5	12
	1.21	5.1	13.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.28)	4.86 ↓ (4.95)	11.25 ↑ (9.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ansar Beirut
73.1%

Draw
18.8%

Shabab Al Sahel
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

18.6%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ansar Beirut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Shabab Al Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Al Ansar Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Haidar M. 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, Khalfallah H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
88', 2 - 0, Bou Saleh M. ⚽, Hebous M. (A),
90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ansar won 3.

Al-Ansar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shabab Al Sahel is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shabab Al Sahel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shabab Al Sahel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Ansar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Ansar won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:10. (average 2.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ansar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Ansar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Al Sahel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ansar Beirut
Lebanese Premier League
17.02.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Abbassieh	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Racing Beirut - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:6 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Hekmeh	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Nejmeh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWT
- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
16.02.26	Hekmeh - Shabab Al Sahel	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Shabab Al Sahel - Nejmeh	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tadamon Sour - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Mabarrah - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
02.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:1
06.02.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	3:1
20.08.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:1
26.02.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:2
04.02.23	Al-Ansar Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	3:1
03.09.22	Al-Ansar Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	2:2
10.03.22	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:6

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