Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 30

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
China	QQ Sports
France	DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	on.cc
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	Persiana Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	SPOTV
Mexico	FOX One
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
World	Onefootball


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.8
	1.78	3.85	3.9
	1.83	4.03	4.17
	2.31	2.55	4.00	Watch
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.85	3.91	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	3.99 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
50.2%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	15%	5%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 21. Coman K. 17. Al Khaibari A. 11. Brozovic M. 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 6. Atangana V. 30. Al Johani Z. 79. Kessie F. 7. Mahrez R. 17. Toney I. 13. Galeno
Substitutes
2. Al Ghannam S. 9. Al Hamdan A. 19. Al Hassan A. 83. Al Najdi S. 96. Al Nasser S. 53. Al Otaibi A. (G) 4. Al Sharari N. 29. Ghareeb A. 23. Yahya A.	49. Abdullah S. 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 46. Hamidou R. 60. Madani Y. 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Jesus J.	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Al Amri A. 🟨,
18', Atangana V. 🟨,
45+4', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Demiral M. 🟨,
63', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
78', Atangana V. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
85', Mane S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Coman K. ⚽, Yahya A. (A),
90+1', Ronaldo C. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
90+2', Toney I. 🟨,
90+3', Yahya A. 🟨,
90+7', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
90+9', Coman K. 🟨,
90+11', Joao Felix ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
90+11', Coman K. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 2.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Al-Nassr could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	12	19
6	Al Ahli SC	8	5	0	3	20:10	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
AFC Champions League 2
22.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Doha	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Al Wasl - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Saudi Professional League
15.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Najma	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League
25.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ET ✺
20.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
08.04.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
02.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2
Saudi Super Cup
23.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 penalties
Saudi Professional League
13.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3
13.09.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
15.03.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1
22.09.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:3
28.05.22	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1

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