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Current Win Probability
Al Ahly Cairo 72.4%
Draw 20.3%
ES Sétif 7.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.4%
23.5%
11.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
21%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ahly Cairo's performance.
ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Ahly Cairo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ES Sétif could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
9.1%
36.4%
Al Ahly Cairo - ES Sétif Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). ES Sétif will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
1st leg.
Recent matches Al Ahly Cairo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
ES Sétif is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
ES Sétif could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Al Ahly Cairo is certain favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Al Ahly Cairo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly Cairo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.