What is the expert prediction for Al Ahly Cairo vs Espérance ST?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Al Ahly Cairo vs Espérance ST. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Al Ahly Cairo vs Espérance ST Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 21, 2026)

Match Info

CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Referee: Jayed J. (Mar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport OTT 3
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Al Ahly Cairo		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.4	6.5
	1.39	3.8	7.75
	1.53	3.7	6.8
	1.53	3.83	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6.5
	1.53	3.48	6.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.39)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	6.72 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ahly Cairo
61%

Draw
25.4%

Espérance ST
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

23.7%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

22.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 100%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shobeir O. (G) 30. Hany M. 21. Reyad H. 6. Ibrahim Y. 20. Belammari Y. 25. Zizo 23. Dieng A. 13. Attia M. 7. Trezeguet (C) 22. Ashour E. 17. Bencharki A.	32. Ben Said B. (G) 23. Keita I. 6. Jelassi H. 15. Tougai M. 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 14. Ogbelu O. 7. Boualia K. 8. Tka H. 21. Konate A. 34. Diarra J. 22. Danho F.
Substitutes
5. Ben Romdhane M. 24. Eid A. 14. El Shahat H. 1. El Shenawy M. (G) 9. Ieltsin Camoes 36. Kouka A. 29. Mohamed T. 27. Otaka M. 4. Ramadan A.	2. Ben Ali M. 29. Diakite A. 27. Guenichi K. 39. Haj Ali M. 31. Jebali C. 12. Laifi N. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 40. Msakni Y. 10. Yan Sasse
Coaches
Thorup J.	Beaumelle P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Trezeguet ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', Diarra J. ↓, Yan Sasse ↑,
63', Tougai M. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Danho F. ⚽,
70', Keita I. 🟨,
74', Boualia K. ↓, Haj Ali M. ↑,
74', Danho F. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
76', Attia M. ↓, Otaka M. ↑,
77', Reyad H. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Tougai M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 2 - 2, Jelassi H. (Own goal),
85', Ashour E. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
89', Tka H. 🟨,
90', Tka H. ↓, Guenichi K. ↑,
90', Konate A. ↓, Msakni Y. ↑,
90+2', Hany M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Jelassi H. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1. No spectators. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 3.

Recent performances by Al Ahly have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Espérance ST is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al Ahly is the clear favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ahly Cairo
CAF Champions League
15.03.26	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
09.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Ahly Cairo	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ahly Cairo	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Al Ahly Cairo - ZED	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTW
- Espérance ST
CAF Champions League
15.03.26	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.03.26	Espérance ST - Marsa	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Olympique Béja - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
25.02.26	Métlaoui - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
15.03.26	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0
25.05.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST	1:0
18.05.24	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0
19.05.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST	1:0
12.05.23	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3
26.06.21	Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST	3:0
19.06.21	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1

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