The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Ahly Cairo 60%
Draw 25.8%
ZED 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
23.6%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
22.6%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZED than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Al Ahly Cairo - ZED Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Al Ahly (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 21. Reyad H. 6. Ibrahim Y. 20. Belammari Y. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 13. Attia M. 22. Ashour E. 29. Mohamed T. 27. Otaka M. 17. Bencharki A.
1. Lotfi A. (G) 23. Alaa T. 3. Bakri A. 5. Tarek A. 24. Rabia M. 88. Kabaka 18. Ahmed El Sageery 37. Magassa M. 11. Saad M. 17. Abdelrahman El Sakran 77. Saber M.
Substitutes
23. Dieng A. 14. El Shahat H. 28. Fouad K. 36. Kouka A. 4. Ramadan A. 10. Sherif M. 31. Shobeir O. (G) 7. Trezeguet 25. Zizo
20. Alaa H. 9. Atef A. 22. Bah M. 25. El Sayed Z. 4. Fathy A. 30. Gamal A. 7. Khalil R. 16. Mazzika M. (G) 14. Messi
Coaches
Thorup J.
Shawky M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Saad M. ⚽, Saber M. (A),
38', Magassa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Mohamed T. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
52', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Trezeguet ↑,
54', Alaa T. 🟨,
55', Abdelrahman El Sakran ↓, Messi ↑,
55', Saber M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
69', Bencharki A. ↓, Zizo ↑,
74', Rabia M. 🟨,
74', Alaa T. ↓, Fathy A. ↑,
82', Otaka M. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
87', Rabia M. ↓, El Sayed Z. ↑,
87', Magassa M. ↓, Alaa H. ↑,
89', Ibrahim Y. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Trezeguet ⚽,
90+1', Lotfi A. 🟨,
90+1', Messi 🟨,
90+1', Bakri A. 🟨,
90+5', Fathy A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
Al Ahly is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
ZED has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Al Ahly will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Al Ahly
5
4
1
0
9:3
6
13
10
ZED
5
2
1
2
4:5
-1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Al Ahly Cairo - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.57%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.
Egypt
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El Shenawy M. (C) 
Belammari Y. 
Ben Romdhane M. 
Magassa M. 
Dieng A. 
Bah M. 
Thorup J. 
