Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Round 6

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Al Salam Stadium (Cairo)

Referee: Sarr B. (Mrt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Egypt	On Time Sports 1
France	beIN Connect, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SABC Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	beIN Connect, Paramount+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+


	Al Ahly Cairo		Orlando Pirates

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.43	3.7	7
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.48	3.78	7.87	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.43	3.92	7.8	Watch
	1.45	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)	3.84 ↓ (4.28)	7.27 ↓ (8.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ahly Cairo
63.5%

Draw
23.9%

Orlando Pirates
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

21.2%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Al Ahly Cairo - Orlando Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Oufa Shobeir (G) 2. Abdelfattah K. 5. Rabia R. (C) 20. Karim Nedved 13. Brimil M. 22. Ashour E. 16. Afsha 6. Yasser Ibrahim 36. Ahmed Kouka 23. El Saaiy O. 9. Abou Ali W.	24. Chaine S. (G) 37. Lebitso T. 28. Sesane T. 5. Sibisi N. (C) 29. Mako P. 8. Makhaula M. 10. Maswanganyi P. 16. Mbatha T. 7. Hotto D. 17. Makgopa E. 3. Mofokeng R.
Substitutes
4. Aymen Y. 33. El Debes K. 14. El Shahat H. 1. El Shenawy M. (G) 17. El Solia A. 30. Hany M. 7. Kahraba 38. Motaz M. 8. Tawfik A.	1. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 18. Dlamini K. 11. Gilberto 25. Kimvuidi K. 19. Mabasa T. 34. Ndlozi S. 33. Nkota M. 31. Rasebotja S. 27. Xoki T.
Coaches
Koller M.	Riveiro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Maswanganyi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Mofokeng R. ⚽, Mbatha T. (A),
56', Lebitso T. ↓, Ndlozi S. ↑,
64', Abdelfattah K. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
64', El Saaiy O. ↓, El Debes K. ↑,
64', Afsha ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, El Shahat H. ⚽, El Debes K. (A),
70', Mako P. 🟨,
72', Yasser Ibrahim 🟨,
73', Brimil M. ↓, El Solia A. ↑,
77', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Rasebotja S. ↑,
77', Mbatha T. ↓, Dlamini K. ↑,
80', Makgopa E. ↓, Mabasa T. ↑,
80', Hotto D. ↓, Gilberto ↑,
82', Karim Nedved ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Mabasa T. ⚽, Dlamini K. (A),
90+2', Gilberto 🟨,

Preview

Al Ahly is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )

Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Orlando Pirates could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al Ahly is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League
15.01.25	Al Ahly Cairo - El Gouna	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
11.01.25	Stade dAbidjan - Al Ahly Cairo	1:3 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
07.01.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
03.01.25	Belouizdad - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
30.12.24	ENPPI - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLT
- Orlando Pirates
CAF Champions League
12.01.25	Orlando Pirates - Belouizdad	2:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
08.01.25	Cape Town City - Orlando Pirates	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
04.01.25	Orlando Pirates - Stade dAbidjan	3:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
29.12.24	Magesi - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
24.12.24	Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
07.12.24	Orlando Pirates - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0
CAF Confederation Cup
04.10.15	Al Ahly Cairo - Orlando Pirates	3:4
26.09.15	Orlando Pirates - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0
CAF Champions League
10.11.13	Al Ahly Cairo - Orlando Pirates	2:0
02.11.13	Orlando Pirates - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1
22.09.13	Orlando Pirates - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0
04.08.13	Al Ahly Cairo - Orlando Pirates	0:3

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