The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Ahly Cairo 28.7%
Draw 26.1%
Pachuca 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.6%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
25.3%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Ahly Cairo's form might have worsened.
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Al Ahly (2.05) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 50%). Pachuca (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. El Shenawy M. (G) 22. Ashour E. 13. Ateya M. 24. Bencharki A. 7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 15. Dari A. 27. El Aash M. 33. El Debes K. 10. Gradisar N. 30. Hany M. 29. Mohamed T.
25. Moreno C. (G) 2. Barreto S. D. 26. Bautista A. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 8. Gonzalez B. 11. Idrissi O. 10. John Kennedy 28. Montiel E. 18. Palavecino A. 7. Rodriguez E. 24. Rodriguez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽,
45+1', Dari A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Trezeguet ⚽,
57', Gradisar N. ↓, Zizo ↑,
Preview
Neutral location - Chase Stadium.
Al Ahly is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Pachuca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al Ahly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.