Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Banorte (Mexico City) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	19:05	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Usa	21:05	TUDN App, TUDN


	Club América		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.90	5.25	Watch
	1.65	4.00	4.60
	1.57	4.00	5.00	Watch
	1.69	4.21	4.89
	1.63	4.24	4.96
	1.66	4.10	4.85
	1.68	3.88	5.37	Watch
	1.65	4.00	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	4.04 ↑ (3.78)	4.94 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club América
57.6%

Draw
23.3%

Pachuca
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Club América - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pachuca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - América (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - América (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 14. Bueno S. 15. Ramos S. 24. Rossano F. 28. Sanchez E. 3. Reyes I. 22. Perea O. 8. Alvarez C. 7. Rodriguez B. 9. Martin H. (C)	25. Moreno C. (C) 13. Berlanga J. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 15. Venegas F. 26. Bautista A. 16. Rivera C. 21. Vallejo N. 7. Pizarro R. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
189. Cardenas A. 6. Cerrillo E. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 206. Garcia D. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 93. Miguel Borja 12. Violante I.	9. Alcaraz A. 32. Budib P. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 211. Hernandez C. 6. Isais M. 29. Kenedy 221. Martinez U. 30. Rodriguez S. 12. Santos S. 207. Zavala I.
Coaches
Almada G.	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bautista A. ⚽,
19', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rossano F. ↓, Espinoza D. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Martin H. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
56', Espinoza D. 🟨,
59', Reyes I. ↓, Cerrillo E. ↑,
59', Alvarez C. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
64', Vallejo N. 🟨,
68', Almada G. 🟨,
68', Pizarro R. ↓, Isais M. ↑,
69', Sanchez E. 🟨,
72', Perea O. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Idrissi O. ⚽, Rondon S. (A),
76', Vallejo N. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
76', Bautista A. ↓, Zavala I. ↑,
81', Martin H. ↓, Cardenas A. ↑,
85', Berlanga J. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
85', Venegas F. ↓, Budib P. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 2.

América is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Pachuca is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pachuca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, América has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to América for this game.

Doubtful / questionable for América: Davila V. (Knee Injury) Juarez R. (Injury) Raphael Veiga (Injury) Zuniga J. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Pachuca: Arroyo A. (Foot Injury) Dominguez A. (Foot Injury) Micolta A. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for América against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:12 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Club America	13	8	3	2	33:18	15	27
13	Pachuca	14	4	4	6	22:19	3	16

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

Club America: 20.9% Pachuca: 1.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Club América - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.14%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
21.10.26	Atlas - Club América	2:5 ✺
17.10.26	Club León - Club América	3:5 ✺
10.10.26	Club América - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Club América	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
27.09.26	Necaxa - Club América	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLW
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
21.10.26	Pachuca - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
18.10.26	Monterrey - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Pachuca - Necaxa	3:3 ✺
26.09.26	Santos Laguna - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Pachuca - Tijuana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.01.26	Pachuca - Club América	0:0
30.08.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0
10.05.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0
07.05.25	Pachuca - Club América	0:0
05.04.25	Pachuca - Club América	1:0
06.11.24	Club América - Pachuca	2:1
11.05.24	Club América - Pachuca	1:1

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