Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday

Location: Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium (Al Ain)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al Ain		Al-Rayyan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.8	4.4	Watch
	1.65	4.48	4.47
	1.55	4.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	4.63 ↑ (4.08)	4.49 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ain
58.9%

Draw
20.2%

Al-Rayyan
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	17.6%	17.6%

Al Ain - Al Rayyan Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Al Ain will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Al-Rayyan will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ain: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Eisa K. (G) 11. Mohammed B. (C) 16. Hashemi K. 3. Kouadio K. 15. Erik Menezes 10. Kaku 5. Park Yong-Woo 70. Trawri A. 20. Palacios M. 9. Laba K. 21. Rahimi S.	48. Paulo Victor (G) 2. Naji M. 13. Amaro A. 5. Garcia D. 3. Ahmed H. 17. Surag M. 23. Thiago Mendes 4. De Sart J. 8. Trezeguet 10. Roger Guedes 92. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
30. Abbas H. 18. Ali K. 72. Awad M. 13. Barman A. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 27. Gassama S. 35. Hassan S. (G) 29. Infantino G. 46. Komari D. 24. Salomoni F. 19. Sanabria M. 77. Sarki R.	19. Al Ali A. I. M. H. 44. Al Hadhrami N. 20. Ali 21. Bahzad H. 22. Beldi S. (G) 62. Brenet J. 33. Mahajna A. 15. Mansour T. 31. Mazen S. (G) 7. Tabata R.
Coaches
Jardim L.	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Kaku ⚽, Rahimi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Trezeguet ⚽, Naji M. (A),
53', Kaku 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Roger Guedes ⚽, Bareiro A. (A),
78', Erik Menezes ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
78', Awad M. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
79', Palacios M. ↓, Abbas H. ↑,
80', Thiago Mendes ↓, Al Hadhrami N. ↑,
82', Surag M. 🟨,
84', Surag M. ↓, Bahzad H. ↑,
85', Roger Guedes 🟨,
89', Hashemi K. ↓, Infantino G. ↑,
90+2', Bareiro A. ↓, Mahajna A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al Ain is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Al-Rayyan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Rayyan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al Ain is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al Ain won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Ain won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ain FC
UAE Football League
30.01.25	Khor Fakkan - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
25.01.25	Al Ain - Al-Jazira	0:1 ✺
UAE Football League
21.01.25	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	4:1 ✺
15.01.25	Ajman Club - Al Ain	4:2 ✺
10.01.25	Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWLL
- Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar QSL
29.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:2 ✺
23.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	0:0 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
16.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
10.01.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan	2:6 ✺
07.12.24	Qatar SC - Al-Rayyan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
16.04.18	Al-Rayyan - Al Ain	1:4
20.02.18	Al Ain - Al-Rayyan	1:1
09.04.13	Al-Rayyan - Al Ain	2:1
03.04.13	Al Ain - Al-Rayyan	2:1

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