Match Info

QSL - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Qatar	18:00	Shoof


	Al-Rayyan		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.05	3.85
	1.63	4.73	4.32
	1.76	3.94	3.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.92)	4.24 ↑ (3.82)	4 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Rayyan
54.7%

Draw
22%

Al-Gharafa
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

24.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Rayyan's performance.

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Al Rayyan - Al Gharafa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Gharafa (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Gharafa (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Rayyan will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 4 - 50%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Abunada M. (G) 21. Yousif A. 13. Amaro A. 55. Saleh M. 12. Al Minhali A. 8. Gaber J. 40. Gregore 19. Rodrigo 10. Roger Guedes (C) 7. Wesley 9. Mitrovic A.	1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 24. Gunnarsson A. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 6. Traore D. 29. Diaz F. 13. Sassi F. 23. Fadlalla S. 9. Joselu 10. Al Ganehi A. 8. Brahimi Y. (C)
Substitutes
3. Ahmed H. 30. Alaaeldin A. 14. Bader A. 22. Beldi S. (G) 11. Gabriel Pereira 5. Garcia D. 18. Mamdouh B. 27. Moustafa Asar 2. Naji M. 23. Noman F. 17. Surag M. 77. Tiago Silva	26. Al-Ali R. A. 55. Al Rayami N. 19. Al Zarra J. 17. Boussafi R. 7. Coman F. 14. Djalo A. 5. Essam M. 99. Hamed J. 27. Holgate M. 12. Ismaeil H. 21. Kahiout H. (G) 40. Lecomte C. (G) 42. Sano S.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Martins P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Jang Hyun-Soo 🟨,
11', Amaro A. 🟨,
11', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Traore D. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Roger Guedes ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Al Ganehi A. ⚽, Fadlalla S. (A),
45+5', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Sassi F. 🟨,
61', Gaber J. ↓, Surag M. ↑,
61', Rodrigo ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
75', Al Minhali A. ↓, Ahmed H. ↑,
75', Wesley ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
82', Diaz F. 🟥,
83', 2 - 2, Roger Guedes (Pen),
87', Gregore 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
90+2', Yousif A. ↓, Alaaeldin A. ↑,
90+6', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Joselu ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
90+7', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Sano S. ↑,
90+9', Hamed J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 1.

Al-Rayyan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Gharafa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Rayyan has had a series of home games.

Al-Rayyan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:39. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Rayyan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar QSL Cup
23.09.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Wakrah	4:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
21.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Rayyan	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Rayyan - Qatar SC	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Rayyan - Qatar SC	4:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
28.08.25	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTWW
- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL Cup
22.09.25	Muaither - Al-Gharafa	5:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.25	Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa	4:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
12.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar Emir Cup
24.05.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	1:2
Qatar QSL
29.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:2
23.08.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Rayyan	2:1
Qatar Cup
01.05.24	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:1
Qatar QSL
17.03.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Rayyan	3:0
28.10.23	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	3:4
Qatar QSL Cup
07.10.23	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	1:0

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