Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 30

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al Akhdoud		Al-Wahda Mecca

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.87	3.6	3.8
	1.92	3.5	3.8
	1.96	3.66	3.94
	1.9	3.62	3.81	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.98	3.55	4.07	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.52 ↓ (3.68)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
49%

Draw
26.7%

Al-Wahda Mecca
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Al-Wahda Mecca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Al Akhdoud - Al Wahda Mecca Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Al-Wahda will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Wahda: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Wahda Mecca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Vitor P. (G) 27. Khamis A. 17. Lowe D. 4. Al Rubaie S. (C) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 18. Pedroza J. 15. Asiri N. 13. Bassogog C. 11. Musona K. 10. Saviour G. 7. Pato	1. Al Owayshir A. (G) 2. Al Muwallad S. 22. Makki A. 17. Al Hafith A. 49. Al Salem A. 35. Al Makahasi M. 4. Bakshween W. (C) 10. Bacuna J. 24. Noor A. 9. Ighalo O. 23. Goodwin C.
Substitutes
14. Al Abbas S. 12. Al Hatila A. 21. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 2. Al Saeed M. 8. Al Zabdani H. 26. Al Zubaidi Y. 64. Ashraf K. 19. Salem S.	13. Al Alaeli M. 28. Al Eisa H. 47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 11. Amyn Y. 18. Bguir S. 6. Cretu A. 77. Khodari M. 80. Naji Y.
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Makki A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 0, Pato ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Al Makahasi M. ⚽,
64', Khamis A. ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,
65', Ighalo O. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,
65', Goodwin C. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
66', Al Muwallad S. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Noor A. ⚽, Cretu A. (A),
86', Asiri N. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
86', Al Qaydhi M. ↓, Al Saeed M. ↑,
86', Pato ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
89', Noor A. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al Akhdoud is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Wahda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match, Al Akhdoud is a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
23.04.25	Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WTTWW
- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Professional League
22.04.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Damac - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
05.12.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Akhdoud	2:3
23.05.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:1
09.12.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Akhdoud	2:0
Saudi Division 1
19.01.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:1
08.09.21	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Akhdoud	2:1

Upcoming Matches