Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Shabab Riyadh		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9
	1.25	5.9	9
	1.25	6.5	9.08
	1.24	6.76	9.14
	1.22	5	9
	1.28	6.42	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	5.97 ↑ (4.98)	9.37 ↑ (7.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shabab Riyadh
74.5%

Draw
15.6%

Al Akhdoud
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

18.6%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.6%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shabab Riyadh's performance.

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Al-Shabab (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 17. Al Thani M. 4. Hoedt W. 3. Al Bulayhi A. 31. Balobaid S. 14. Sierro V. 99. Azaizeh A. 8. Brownhill J. 29. Adli Y. 10. Carrasco Y. (C) 9. Hamdallah A.	1. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. (C) 22. Gunter K. 17. Gul G. 15. Asiri N. 42. Fagihy M. 13. Bassogog C. 5. Neyou Y. 18. Pedroza J. 11. Ince B. 7. Narey K.
Substitutes
40. Al Asmari A. 23. Al Awardi A. (G) 22. Al Hammami H. 20. Al Sayyali B. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 70. Camara H. 5. Makki A. 37. Matuq A.	21. Abu Abd M. 14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. M. 12. Al Hatila A. 26. Al Juhani H. (G) 99. Al Lazam K. 98. Al Qaydhi M. 55. Borrell M. 87. Hawsawi G.
Coaches
Zekri N.	Sumudica M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Hamdallah A. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Adli Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
63', Ince B. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
64', Sierro V. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
69', Al Asmari A. 🟨,
74', Pedroza J. ↓, Borrell M. ↑,
77', Adli Y. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
79', Narey K. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
79', Asiri N. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
84', Borrell M. 🟨,
88', Azaizeh A. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
89', Fagihy M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al-Shabab is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al Akhdoud is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Shabab may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Shabab is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
07.03.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	3:5 ✺
23.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:3 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
18.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Tadamone Hadramout	13:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWW
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
07.03.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Feiha	0:5 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	2:4 ✺
12.02.26	Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
23.11.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1
17.04.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:0
22.11.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1
22.12.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0
14.08.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	1:1

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