Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 34

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday


	Al Akhdoud		Najran

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.75	3.62	2.21
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.82	3.4	2.29
	2.8	3.3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (1.9)	3.34 ↓ (3.82)	2.24 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
32.5%

Draw
27.1%

Najran
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

23.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

24.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Akhdoud's form might have worsened.

Najran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Najran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najran than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Najran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	5.9%	64.7%

Al Akhdoud - Najran Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Najran will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Najran: 42% – 87.4%.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al Akhdoud won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Division 1
23.05.23	Al-Sahel Qatif - Al Akhdoud	3:2 ✺
16.05.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qaisumah	3:1 ✺
10.05.23	Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Al Akhdoud - Al Hazem	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Al Akhdoud - Ohud Medina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW
- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
23.05.23	Najran - Hajer	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Najran - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Al-Sahel Qatif - Najran	3:2 ✺
05.05.23	Al-Faisaly - Najran	2:2 ✺
01.05.23	Najran - Al-Qaisumah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
18.01.23	Najran - Al Akhdoud	0:4
05.05.22	Najran - Al Akhdoud	2:2
15.12.21	Al Akhdoud - Najran	0:0

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