Match Info

QSL - Round 7

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Grand Hamad Stadium (Doha)


	Al-Arabi Doha		Al-Ahli Doha

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.75	3.55
	1.81	3.99	3.94
	1.80	3.97	3.73	Watch
	1.77	3.68	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.02)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)	3.76 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Doha
51.4%

Draw
24%

Al-Ahli Doha
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

24.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Arabi Doha's performance.

Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Al Arabi Doha - Al Ahli Doha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Al Hail J. (G) 6. Maarafiya A. (C) 4. Al Hussain A. 25. Perez A. 24. Sherif M. 8. Fathi A. 21. Veretout J. 10. Rodri 7. Sarabia P. 80. Lihadji I. 14. Olunga M.	35. Badredlin M. (C) 41. Mawla A. R. 16. Tihi R. 5. Mitrovic M. 12. Mohammed H. 8. Fettouhi D. 6. Diallo I. 95. Al Nasr N. 14. Vlap M. 33. Mohammed K. 7. Draxler J.
Substitutes
11. Al Naimat Y. 3. Al Naimi M. 99. Darros J. P. 9. Gouda M. 13. Hassan Y. (G) 16. Hernandez G. 29. Hernandez J. 27. Moein Doozandeh A. 44. Mohamad H. 30. Mohamed Saeed (G) 2. Muftah Y. 17. Reda S.	2. Abdelbaset E. 70. Abdelrahman Y. 4. Ali T. 27. Al-Sharshani J. 88. Amraoui A. 10. Exposito E. 20. Mansour H. 18. Mohammed J. 1. Naim Y. (G) 23. Radwan K. 9. Yansane S. 3. Yassine I.
Coaches
Contra C.	Biscan I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lihadji I. ⚽, Rodri (A),
19', Draxler J. 🟨,
25', Mohammed H. 🟨,
43', Al Nasr N. ↓, Mohammed J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Sherif M. 🟨,
63', Diallo I. ↓, Exposito E. ↑,
76', Mohammed H. ↓, Yassine I. ↑,
76', Mawla A. R. ↓, Radwan K. ↑,
76', Mitrovic M. ↓, Yansane S. ↑,
81', Olunga M. ↓, Al Naimat Y. ↑,
81', Veretout J. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,
86', Lihadji I. ↓, Gouda M. ↑,
90', Sarabia P. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
90', Fathi A. ↓, Reda S. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation) and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Al-Arabi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:42. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 2:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Arabi Doha - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.22%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Doha SC
Qatar QSL
31.10.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shahania	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
28.10.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Lusail City	6:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
25.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Arabi Doha	1:3 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
04.10.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Qatar SC	4:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.09.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Arabi Doha	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWL
- Al-Ahli Doha
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Arkadag - Al-Ahli Doha	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
01.11.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
29.10.25	Al Khalidiah - Al-Ahli Doha	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
25.10.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Gharafa	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Arkadag	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
23.02.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Ahli Doha	4:2
22.09.24	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Arabi Doha	3:3
Qatar QSL Cup
30.08.24	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Ahli Doha	1:0
Qatar QSL
16.03.24	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Arabi Doha	1:1
Qatar QSL Cup
11.11.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Ahli Doha	0:6
Qatar QSL
29.10.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Ahli Doha	2:3
13.04.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Ahli Doha	4:3

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