Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Raed		Al-Ula

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.45	2.1
	2.94	3.67	2.08	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	3.03	3.42	2.09	Watch
	3	3.6	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.92)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
30.7%

Draw
26%

Al-Ula
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Al Raed - Al Ula Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 24. Al Salouli S. 21. Gonzalez O. (C) 4. Hazazi A. 25. Abdulrazaq F. 5. Tweh S. 8. Narvaez J. 7. Al Shaikh M. 10. Yoda K. 26. Bouzok Y. 11. Al Shanqiti W.	33. Al Owais M. (C) 24. Al Dohaim A. 5. Danilo Barbosa 15. Nastasic M. 27. Al Shamrani H. 29. Al Majhad M. 2. Al Zubaidi A. 20. Traore A. 10. Guanca C. 7. Al Khulaif A. 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
12. Al-Balawi A. 48. Al-Marwani S. 22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 6. Al Shaikhi A. 2. Al Shuqayran T. 13. Al Yousif A. 42. Al Zahrani A. 15. Shami A. 66. Whaeshi B.	45. Al Asmari F. 55. Al Hadhood N. 99. Al Jizani F. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 88. Al Nabit S. 12. Al Shamrani K. 49. Al Zain A. 4. Haqawi Y. 3. Razzaq A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Traore A. 🟨,
24', Abdulrazaq F. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Al Khulaif A. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', Al Shamrani H. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Traore A. ⚽, Al Khulaif A. (A),
64', Al Owais M. 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Bouzok Y. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Abdulrazaq F. ↓, Al Shuqayran T. ↑,
75', Tweh S. 🟨,
79', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
79', Traore A. ↓, Al Zain A. ↑,
89', Al Shaikh M. ↓, Al Zahrani A. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Al Shanqiti W. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
90+2', Nastasic M. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 2, Gonzalez O. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
90+10', Whaeshi B. 🟨,
90+20', Al Zubaidi A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Ula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Al-Ula could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ula	5	5	0	0	10:1	9	15
13	Al Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
01.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	5:3 ✺
26.12.25	Al Raed - Al-Diriyah	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Al Raed - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Al Raed - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTW
- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
30.12.25	Al-Ula - Al-Anwar	1:1 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Ula - Al Jandal	5:1 ✺
12.12.25	Abha - Al-Ula	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Ula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTWLT

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