Match Info

QSL - Round 20

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Qatar	Al Kass Four, Al Kass One, Shoof


	Al Duhail		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.9
	1.78	4.04	4.35
	1.72	4.12	4.1	Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.77	3.9	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)	3.89 ↓ (4.23)	4.04 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Duhail
53.1%

Draw
23.9%

Al-Gharafa
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

21.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Al Duhail - Al Gharafa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zakaria S. (G) 22. Bamba I. 21. Castelletto J. 3. Tuta 14. Al Minhali G. 19. Bourigeaud B. (C) 34. Soumare B. 25. Hamza M. 8. Edmilson Junior 9. Piatek K. 81. Jamshid T.	1. N'Diaye K. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 24. Gunnarsson A. 42. Sano S. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 13. Sassi F. 29. Diaz F. 11. Surag A. 10. Al Ganehi A. 8. Brahimi Y. (C) 90. Aladin H.
Substitutes
29. Al Abdulla R. 11. Ali A. 4. Aymen Y. 77. Boulbina A. 30. Burke B. (G) 96. Hassan A. (G) 15. Luiz Ceara 45. Mohamed M. 17. Sabaly Y.	33. Abdulnasir C. 57. Al Khlif Y. M. 17. Boussafi R. 7. Coman F. 14. Djalo A. 5. Essam M. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 99. Hamed J. 67. Hassan A. 21. Kahiout H. (G) 6. Traore D.
Coaches
Belmadi D.	Martins P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Hamza M. ⚽,
20', Al Oui A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Aladin H. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Edmilson Junior ⚽, Hamza M. (A),
45', 2 - 2, Sassi F. ⚽, Al Ganehi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Sano S. 🟨,
59', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
61', Piatek K. ↓, Boulbina A. ↑,
61', Castelletto J. ↓, Sabaly Y. ↑,
61', Jamshid T. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
77', Hamza M. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
80', Aladin H. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
85', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
86', Hamed J. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Ali A. ⚽,
90+9', Bourigeaud B. ↓, Al Abdulla R. ↑,
90+11', Al-Ali R. A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 3.

In recent matches, Al Duhail has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Gharafa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al Duhail is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Duhail won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Duhail	5	2	3	0	9:3	6	9
10	Al Gharafa	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Duhail
Qatar QSL
17.03.26	Al-Shamal - Al Duhail	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Sailiya - Al Duhail	0:4 ✺
26.02.26	Al Duhail - Al-Sadd	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Al Duhail - Al-Arabi Doha	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.02.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Duhail	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLTL
- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
18.03.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Ahli Doha	1:4 ✺
12.03.26	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Rayyan	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Al-Gharafa - Tractor Sazi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
14.11.25	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	1:0
Qatar QSL
30.10.25	Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail	3:1
Qatar Cup
23.04.25	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	1:0 penalties
Qatar QSL
29.03.25	Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail	0:2
27.10.24	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	1:1
01.03.24	Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa	1:4
Qatar QSL Cup
14.10.23	Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail	0:2

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