Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Qatar	Al Kass Six, Shoof
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic


	Al-Gharafa		Tractor Sazi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	3.35	2.82	Watch
	2.49	3.54	2.73
	2.33	3.6	2.79	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.47	3.56	2.77
	2.36	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.31)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	2.82 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
39.8%

Draw
27%

Tractor Sazi
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Tractor Sazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Al Gharafa - Tractor Sazi Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 20 - 87%). Tractor Sazi will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 73.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Al-Gharafa (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Gharafa (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Gharafa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tractor Sazi (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifa A. B. (G) 11. Surag A. 14. Djalo A. 42. Sano S. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 26. Al-Ali R. A. 7. Coman F. 29. Diaz F. 12. Normann M. 13. Sassi F. (C) 9. Joselu	1. Beiranvand A. (G) 11. Esmaeilifar D. 31. Lushkja R. 3. Khalilzadeh S. (C) 22. Naderi M. 20. Hashemnejad M. 4. Sedlar A. 21. Khamrobekov O. 7. Halilovic T. 25. Drozdek D. 99. Hosseinzadeh A.
Substitutes
57. Al Khlif Y. M. 17. Boussafi R. 5. Essam M. 23. Fadlalla S. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 24. Gunnarsson A. 99. Hamed J. 21. Kahiout H. (G) 97. Nasar Mohamed A. 22. Sudarmanto A. 6. Traore D.	44. Darvishaali E. 33. Faraji F. 6. Hosseini M. 30. Johansson M. (G) 17. Karimazar S. 88. Kazemayni M. 27. Khorrami A. 5. Kor M. 77. Mohammadi M. 2. Shiri M. 19. Strkalj T. 49. Zarei A. (G)
Coaches
Martins P.	Rabiei M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Sedlar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Normann M. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
46', Khalilzadeh S. 🟨,
60', Sano S. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Hashemnejad M. ⚽,
67', Joselu 🟨,
68', Djalo A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
68', Diaz F. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
69', Lushkja R. ↓, Kazemayni M. ↑,
69', Halilovic T. ↓, Hosseini M. ↑,
73', Al-Ali R. A. ↓, Fadlalla S. ↑,
74', Khamrobekov O. 🟨,
76', Gunnarsson A. 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Hosseinzadeh A. ⚽, Kazemayni M. (A),
84', Coman F. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,
86', Sedlar A. ↓, Faraji F. ↑,
90', Hashemnejad M. ↓, Strkalj T. ↑,
90', Drozdek D. ↓, Mohammadi M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Tractor Sazi is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Al-Gharafa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tractor Sazi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tractor Sazi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar Emir Cup
14.02.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Kharitiyath	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Gharafa	7:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
05.02.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	1:3 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
22.01.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sharjah	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Tractor Sazi FC
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Tractor Sazi - Al-Sadd	0:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
06.02.26	Fajr Sepasi - Tractor Sazi	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Tractor Sazi - Sepahan	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Aluminium Arak - Tractor Sazi	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Tractor Sazi - Mes Rafsanjan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
17.04.18	Tractor Sazi - Al-Gharafa	1:3
19.02.18	Al-Gharafa - Tractor Sazi	3:0

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