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Current Win Probability
Qatar SC 35.8%
Draw 26%
Al-Gharafa 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
24.3%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
24%
45.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qatar SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qatar SC's performance.
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Gharafa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qatar SC than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qatar SC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Qatar SC - Al Gharafa Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Qatar SC will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Mahmoud A. N. (G) 4. Saoudi A. 22. Russo F. 24. Mason N. 77. Al Battat M. 44. Al Hadhrami N. 6. Al Rashdan N. 20. Palangi E. (C) 10. Al Rawi A. 9. Joao Pedro 7. Selemani F.
1. N'Diaye K. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 6. Traore D. 24. Gunnarsson A. 42. Sano S. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 11. Surag A. 13. Sassi F. (C) 29. Diaz F. 14. Djalo A. 9. Joselu
Substitutes
15. Aiash M. 74. Al Abbasi S. (G) 18. Al Ali A. I. M. H. 31. Al Bustami M. (G) 2. Baksh N. 30. Brahmi S. 5. Danzabe R. 40. Diouf S. F. 19. Ibrahim A. 21. Sayyar A. 23. Soria S. 11. Yan
90. Aladin H. 57. Al Khlif Y. M. 55. Al Rayami N. H. 17. Boussafi R. 8. Brahimi Y. 7. Coman F. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 99. Hamed J. 21. Kahiout H. (G) 97. Nasar Mohamed A. 22. Sudarmanto A.
Coaches
Marquez Lopez B.
Martins P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Diaz F. 🟨,
20', Djalo A. 🟨,
21', Russo F. 🟨,
24', Mason N. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Al Battat M. ⚽,
36', Mason N. ↓, Danzabe R. ↑,
39', Al Rashdan N. 🟨,
45+2', Sano S. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Djalo A. ↓, Brahimi Y. ↑,
50', Joao Pedro 🟨,
56', Russo F. ↓, Diouf S. F. ↑,
58', Diaz F. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
59', Palangi E. 🟨,
65', Danzabe R. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Al Rawi A. (A),
76', Al Rawi A. 🟨,
77', Al Hadhrami N. ↓, Aiash M. ↑,
78', Al Rashdan N. ↓, Yan ↑,
78', Al Rawi A. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
79', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qatar SC won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Qatar SC has had a series of away games.
Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of home games.
Al-Gharafa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qatar SC won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:36. (average 1.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Qatar SC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 3:2).