The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Gharafa 21.8%
Draw 21.6%
Al-Rayyan 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
23.3%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
22.5%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.
Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Rayyan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Rayyan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
8.3%
91.7%
Al Gharafa - Al Rayyan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Rayyan will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Rayyan will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye K. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 6. Traore D. 42. Sano S. 23. Fadlalla S. 24. Gunnarsson A. 29. Diaz F. 11. Surag A. 13. Sassi F. (C) 14. Djalo A. 9. Joselu
57. Abunada M. (G) 2. Yousif A. 13. Amaro A. 12. Al Minhali A. 11. Gabriel Pereira 6. Hatem A. (C) 40. Gregore 3. Ahmed H. 19. Rodrigo 10. Roger Guedes 9. Mitrovic A.
Substitutes
26. Al-Ali R. A. 57. Al Khlif Y. M. 55. Al Rayami N. H. 17. Boussafi R. 7. Coman F. 5. Essam M. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 99. Hamed J. 40. Lecomte C. (G) 97. Nasar Mohamed A. 12. Normann M.
25. Abouelela M. 30. Alaaeldin A. 70. Ali 94. Al Qahtani A. 14. Bader A. 22. Beldi S. (G) 8. Gaber J. 5. Garcia D. 31. Mazen S. (G) 55. Saleh M. 17. Surag M. 77. Tiago Silva
Coaches
Martins P.
Artur Jorge
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
30', Rodrigo 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', Sassi F. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Sassi F. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Surag A. ⚽, Joselu (A),
68', Ahmed H. ↓, Saleh M. ↑,
68', Amaro A. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
68', Hatem A. ↓, Surag M. ↑,
71', N'Diaye K. 🟨,
81', Diaz F. ↓, Normann M. ↑,
82', Yousif A. ↓, Alaaeldin A. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Surag A. (A),
88', Surag M. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Roger Guedes (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Traore D. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
90+2', Djalo A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
90+2', Al Minhali A. ↓, Ali ↑,
90+8', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
90+12', Fadlalla S. 🟥,
90+12', Sano S. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 3.
Recent form of Al-Gharafa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Rayyan is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Al-Rayyan is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:35. (average 2.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.6:2).
Asia
Qatar
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N'Diaye K. (G) 
Sano S. 
Gunnarsson A. 
Diaz F. 
Sassi F. (C) 
Djalo A. 
Joselu 
Amaro A. 
Gabriel Pereira 
Mitrovic A. 
Coman F. 
Gamal M. (G) 
Hamed J. 
Normann M. 
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