Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Al Duhail		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.7
	2.4	3.3	2.65
	2.39	3.15	2.85
	2.47	3.28	3
	2.4	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.44	3.28	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.46)	3.24 ↓ (3.31)	2.83 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Duhail
38.6%

Draw
28.6%

Esteghlal
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

19.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Duhail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Duhail that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esteghlal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Duhail - Esteghlal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Al Duhail is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Esteghlal is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al Duhail won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Duhail won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Duhail
AFC Champions League
18.04.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail	1:1 ✺
15.04.21	Al Duhail - Al-Shorta	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
09.04.21	Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Doha	4:0 ✺
06.04.21	Al-Khor - Al Duhail	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Al-Arabi Doha - Al Duhail	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWTW
- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
18.04.21	Al-Shorta - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
15.04.21	Esteghlal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	5:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
03.04.21	Esteghlal - Paykan	0:0 ✺
17.03.21	Machine Sazi Tabriz - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
11.03.21	Paykan - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
06.05.19	Esteghlal - Al Duhail	1:1
05.03.19	Al Duhail - Esteghlal	3:0

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