The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Esteghlal 48.1%
Draw 28.1%
Al-Ahli Jeddah 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
24.8%
55.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
14.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal's performance.
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.6%
9.5%
6.9%
Esteghlal - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions
Users Predictions:
116 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 97 - 83.6%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 9.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal: 76.9% โ 90.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Esteghlal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Al-Ahli has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Al-Ahli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Esteghlal is a favorite.
Al-Ahli has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Last 2 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
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