Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Al-Shorta		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.57	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.7	Watch
	4.25	3.7	1.68
	4.8	3.75	1.62
	4.85	4.06	1.68
	5.25	3.75	1.63
	4.9	3.86	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.55)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta
19.2%

Draw
24.6%

Esteghlal
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

25.2%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

20.7%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esteghlal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Shorta - Esteghlal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Al-Shorta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Esteghlal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Esteghlal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Esteghlal is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Shorta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Shorta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Damascus
AFC Champions League
15.04.21	Al Duhail - Al-Shorta	2:0 ✺
Syrian Premier League
14.04.21	Al-Shorta - Al-Karamah	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Jableh - Al-Shorta	2:2 ✺
17.03.21	Al-Shorta - Al-Horgelah	0:0 ✺
12.03.21	Al-Ittihad Aleppo - Al-Shorta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTTT
- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
15.04.21	Esteghlal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	5:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
03.04.21	Esteghlal - Paykan	0:0 ✺
17.03.21	Machine Sazi Tabriz - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
11.03.21	Paykan - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
06.03.21	Esteghlal - Foolad Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
20.09.20	Esteghlal - Al-Shorta	1:1
10.02.20	Al-Shorta - Esteghlal	1:1

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