Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 5

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Life, SupeSport ESPN 2
Asia	JACO Middle East, SPOTV 2 Asia
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Croatia	SportKlub 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.38
	6.7	4.95	1.37
	6.4	5.21	1.4
	17.74	8.10	1.12	Watch
	7.48	4.85	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.91 ↑ (5.85)	5.62 ↑ (4.78)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
10.7%

Draw
17%

Al-Hilal
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

19.2%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

18.8%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Hilal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 4. Hendry J. 70. Khateeb A. A. 3. Madu A. 5. Calvo F. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 10. Medran A. 11. Duda O. 15. Nkota M. 17. Al Ghannam K.	37. Bono (G) 88. Al Yami H. 3. Koulibaly K. 87. Tambakti H. 19. Hernandez T. 10. Malcom 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 8. Neves R. 16. Al Dawsari N. (C) 9. Marcos Leonardo 7. Nunez D.
Substitutes
6. Al Ghamdi F. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 7. Ali M. 33. Al Olayan M. 12. Dahal A. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 9. Dembele M. 22. Hawsawi A. (G) 37. Hindi A.	5. Al Bulayhi A. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 89. Al Malki A. 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 14. Darisi A. 28. Kanno M. 78. Lajami A.
Coaches
Al Shehri S.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Marcos Leonardo ⚽,
29', Al Dawsari N. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Nunez D. ⚽, Malcom (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Al Yami H. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Neves R. (Pen),
55', 0 - 4, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Nunez D. (A),
61', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Dembele M. ↑,
61', Madu A. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
63', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
74', 0 - 5, Nunez D. ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
75', Nkota M. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
76', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
76', Tambakti H. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
85', Koulibaly K. ↓, Al Bulayhi A. ↑,
90+1', Al Otaibi R. ↓, Dahal A. ↑,
90+1', Calvo F. ↓, Al Olayan M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 0.

Al-Ettifaq has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Hilal is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Al-Hilal is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 12:43. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ettifaq won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
26.09.25	Damac - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
21.09.25	Al-Batin - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:2 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.09.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:1 ✺
12.09.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
28.08.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
AFC Champions League
29.09.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal	2:3 ✺
Saudi Professional League
25.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud	3:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
19.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
11.04.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Hilal	1:1
08.11.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:1
26.02.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Hilal	0:2
28.08.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:0
18.03.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:0
Saudi King Cup
21.12.22	Al-Hilal - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0
Saudi Professional League
06.10.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Hilal	0:0

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