Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Suriname	SCCN
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Nasaf Qarshi		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	4.95	1.38	Watch
	5.59	4.2	1.59
	16.07	6.47	1.16	Watch
	6.25	5.44	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.6 ↑ (7.65)	5.27 ↑ (4.98)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasaf Qarshi
11.3%

Draw
18.5%

Al-Hilal
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

18.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

17.8%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Nasaf Qarshi - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Hilal will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Nematov A. (G) 28. Mukhammadiev S. 34. Nasrullaev S. 5. Gaybullaev G. 22. Golban I. 92. Eshmurodov U. (C) 24. Bakhromov S. 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 77. Bozorov O. 18. Norchaev K.	37. Bono (G) 88. Al Yami H. 3. Koulibaly K. 87. Tambakti H. 19. Hernandez T. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 8. Neves R. 28. Kanno M. 5. Al Bulayhi A. (C) 99. Al Hamdan A. 9. Marcos Leonardo
Substitutes
55. Abdunazarov D. 10. Ceran D. 19. Colovic S. 33. Khalilov B. 82. Numonov A. (G) 17. Nurulloev S. 20. Otubanjo Y. 9. Sidikov J. 71. Ubaydullayev J. 1. Vorobey O. (G)	4. Akcicek Y. 16. Al Dawsari N. 24. Al Harbi M. 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 14. Darisi A. 11. Kaio Cesar 78. Lajami A. 25. Patouillet M. (G) 21. Radif A.
Coaches
Berdiev R.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Bakhromov S. ⚽, Eshmurodov U. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Hernandez T. ⚽, Al Bulayhi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Ceran D. ↑,
46', Golban I. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Sidikov J. ⚽, Eshmurodov U. (A),
67', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
72', Al Bulayhi A. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
73', Sidikov J. ↓, Ubaydullayev J. ↑,
78', Bozorov O. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
85', Kanno M. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
85', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
90+1', Al Yami H. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
90+1', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Radif A. ↑,
90+7', Neves R. 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
25.09.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Xorazm Urganch	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Nasaf Qarshi	4:2 ✺
Uzbek League
10.09.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	5:0 ✺
23.08.25	Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
25.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud	3:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
19.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTWT

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