Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday

Location: Al Thumama Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sport 1+
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Faisaly		Foolad Khuzestan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	2.8	2.05	Watch
	3.85	2.9	2.02
	5.27	2.93	1.98
	4.2	2.75	2
	4.6	2.99	1.98	Watch
	4.1	2.8	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.76)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
21.2%

Draw
32.6%

Foolad Khuzestan
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

30.1%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

29.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Foolad Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foolad Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	31.6%	47.4%

Al Faisaly - Foolad Khuzestan Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Foolad will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Foolad: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Foolad will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
14.02.23	Al-Faisaly - Al Akhdoud	1:3 ✺
07.02.23	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Riyadh	0:1 ✺
18.01.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Shoalah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLT
- Foolad Khuzestan FC
Iran Pro League
13.02.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Foolad Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Tractor Sazi - Foolad Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
27.01.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
20.01.23	Sanat Naft - Foolad Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWT

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