Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday

Location: Amman International Stadium (Amman)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Sport 2


	Al Faisaly Amman		Nasaf Qarshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.45	Watch
	3.03	3.26	2.45
	2.9	3	2.38
	3	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.71)	3.19 ↓ (3.48)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Faisaly Amman
32%

Draw
29.3%

Nasaf Qarshi
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.1%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

26.7%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Faisaly Amman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Faisaly Amman's performance.

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nasaf Qarshi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Faisaly Amman than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Faisaly Amman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nasaf Qarshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Al Faisaly Amman - Nasaf Qarshi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al Faisaly will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nasaf will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Faisaly: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Khalil M. (G) 19. Bani Yassen A. 17. Al Ajalin S. (C) 30. Mohannad K. 77. Al Kloub M. 14. Al Rashdan N. 6. Al Samrieh O. 22. Zakaria K. 7. Al Shanaineh A. 99. Kamergi R. 11. Al Haj A.	35. Nematov A. (G) 28. Mukhammadiev S. 5. Gaybullaev G. 92. Eshmurodov U. (C) 34. Nasrullaev S. 17. Nurulloev S. 18. Abdurakhimov B. 9. Sidikov J. 7. Mozgovoy A. 19. Mateus 77. Bozorov O.
Substitutes
8. Abdel-Rahman B. 5. Abudahab H. 9. Al-Akash M. 45. Al Emwasi M. (G) 91. Al Rushdi H. 20. Banihani R. 23. Haddad E, 10. Jalboush Y. 4. Marie B. 3. Mavila N. 70. Shaira A. 1. Zaid N.	8. Abdurahmatov Z. 99. Amonov A. 1. Ergashev U. (G) 70. Jigauri J. 32. Khakimov Z. 21. Narzullaev D. 25. Rahmatov B. 88. Stanojevic M.
Coaches
Ghrairi G.	Berdiev R.

Preview

Recent matches Al Faisaly is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nasaf is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nasaf will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al Faisaly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Faisaly Amman
Jordan Premier League
25.08.23	Al-Wehdat - Al Faisaly Amman	3:2 ✺
18.08.23	Al Faisaly Amman - Maan	4:1 ✺
11.08.23	Al-Ramtha - Al Faisaly Amman	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Al Faisaly Amman - Al-Salt	2:1 ✺
Jordan Super Cup
28.07.23	Al-Wehdat - Al Faisaly Amman	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL
- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
29.08.23	Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2 ✺
Uzbek Super Cup
24.08.23	Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2 ✺
Uzbek League
19.08.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
10.08.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
30.01.18	Nasaf Qarshi - Al Faisaly Amman	5:1

Al Faisaly Amman - Nasaf Qarshi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide