Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 21

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al Fateh		Al-Orobah

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	4.1
	1.8	3.98	4.24
				Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.8
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.56)	3.73 ↓ (3.96)	4.05 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
52.1%

Draw
24.9%

Al-Orobah
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

23.2%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Fateh's form might have worsened.

Al-Orobah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Fateh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Orobah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Al Fateh - Al Orobah Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Al-Orobah will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Al Aqidi N. (G) 42. Al Julaydan A. 17. Saadane M. 82. Al Zarie H. 44. Fernandes J. 11. Batna M. 33. Youssouf Z. 28. Bendebka S. 9. Vargas M. 18. Al Zaid S. 21. Djaniny	28. Coucke G. (G) 14. Abu Taha M. 11. Al Maqati H. 3. Kandouss I. 33. Al Shuwaish H. 6. Al Qarni M. 37. Tello C. 13. Al Zubaidi I. 73. Muhar K. 7. Gudmundsson J. 99. Al Somah O.
Substitutes
94. Al Anazi A. 24. Al Dohaim A. 14. Al Fuhaid M. 4. Al Jari Z. 29. Al Masoud A. 88. Al Othman O. 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 99. Machado M. 13. Qasim H.	70. Al Anazi A. 88. Al Khalaf O. 12. Al Quamiri N. 1. Al Ruwaili R. (G) 18. Al Shammari A. 40. Al Shanqiti M. 27. Al Terais F. 29. Al Zubaidi F. 5. Zouma K.
Coaches
Gomes J.	Hamad A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Al Shuwaish H. ↓, Al Shammari A. ↑,
25', Youssouf Z. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Batna M. ⚽,
36', Al Zubaidi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tello C. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
71', Saadane M. 🟨,
73', Bendebka S. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
77', Al Julaydan A. 🟨,
78', Al Zubaidi I. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
86', Al Qarni M. 🟨,
87', Al Zarie H. ↓, Qasim H. ↑,
87', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Al Jari Z. ↑,
87', Djaniny ↓, Al Dohaim A. ↑,
90+1', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,
90+7', Al Terais F. 🟨,
90+8', Al Zaid S. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Al-Orobah have a series of home games.

In this match Al Fateh is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Fateh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
14.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Al Fateh - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:1 ✺
22.01.25	Al Fateh - Damac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLTLW
- Al-Orobah FC
Saudi Professional League
14.02.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Kholood	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Wahda Mecca	4:2 ✺
30.01.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Orobah	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Qadisiya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
19.09.24	Al-Orobah - Al Fateh	1:0
15.05.15	Al Fateh - Al-Orobah	1:0
20.12.14	Al-Orobah - Al Fateh	1:2

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