Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 24

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Fateh		Damac

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.5
	1.83	3.6	4
	2.05	3.35	3.35
	2.11	3.54	3.52
	1.98	3.72	3.46	Watch
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.1	3.56	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.79)	3.47 ↓ (3.79)	3.54 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
46.6%

Draw
27%

Damac
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

21.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Fateh's form might have worsened.

Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Al Fateh - Damac Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al Fateh will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Fateh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 4. Al Jari Z. 78. Al Swealem A. 12. Qasim H. 17. Saadane M. 33. Youssouf Z. 11. Batna M. (C) 28. Bendebka S. 24. Al Aboud M. 10. Vargas M.	1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Harkass J. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 13. Al Obaid A. 7. Al Qahtani A. 8. Vada V. 6. Abdullah T. 20. Al Anazi D. 2. Sylla M. 11. Meite Y.
Substitutes
22. Al Burayh Mahmoud (G) 98. Al Fawaz A. 55. Al Hamad F. 88. Al Othman O. 25. Al Sahihi M. 37. Al Sarnoukh M. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 21. Ramos Jefferson 23. Wesley Delgado	30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 17. Al Salkhadi M. 88. Al Samiri K. 80. Naji Y. 14. Okita J. 5. Rabea H. 26. Sharahili R.
Coaches
Gomes J.	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Meite Y. ⚽, Al Obaid A. (A),
31', Al Swealem A. 🟨,
32', Al Anazi D. 🟨,
35', Al Jari Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Qasim H. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
48', Harkass J. 🟨,
56', Abdullah T. 🟨,
63', Abdullah T. ↓, Okita J. ↑,
63', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Al Salkhadi M. ↑,
75', Al Anazi D. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Batna M. (Penalty Awarded),
78', 🟨,
80', Al Zubaidi F. ↓, Wesley Delgado ↑,
81', Al Swealem A. ↓, Ramos Jefferson ↑,
86', Meite Y. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
86', Al Aboud M. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 2.

Recent performances by Al Fateh have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Damac is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Damac has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al Fateh is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
23.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	Al Fateh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTT
- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
23.02.26	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Damac - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Damac	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Damac - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
30.10.25	Damac - Al Fateh	1:1
22.05.25	Damac - Al Fateh	0:1
22.01.25	Al Fateh - Damac	2:1
23.02.24	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1
29.08.23	Damac - Al Fateh	2:2
27.05.23	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1
20.01.23	Damac - Al Fateh	3:1

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