Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 28

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Al Fateh

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	9.5
	1.38	5	7
	1.22	6.3	9.8
	1.24	6.9	11.59
	1.26	6.06	9.47	Watch
	1.18	6	10
	1.23	7.6	12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.29)	6.23 ↑ (5.83)	9.91 ↑ (8.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
75.5%

Draw
15.1%

Al Fateh
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

16%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 46. Hamidou R. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 79. Kessie F. 6. Atangana V. 10. Millot E. 7. Mahrez R. 17. Toney I. 9. Al Buraikan F.	1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 4. Al Jari Z. 17. Saadane M. (C) 78. Al Swealem A. 25. Al Sahihi M. 6. Masoud N. 11. Batna M. 28. Bendebka S. 23. Wesley Delgado 10. Vargas M.
Substitutes
49. Abdullah S. 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 30. Al Johani Z. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 60. Madani Y. 20. Matheus Goncalves 5. Sulaiman M.	24. Al Aboud M. 94. Al Anazi A. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 88. Al Othman O. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 87. Bin Mahmoud 44. Fernandes J. 12. Qasim H. 33. Youssouf Z.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Gomes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Al Swealem A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Kessie F. ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Bendebka S. ⚽, Vargas M. (A),
56', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
56', Al Sahihi M. ↓, Youssouf Z. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Vargas M. 🟨,
80', Masoud N. ↓, Al Aboud M. ↑,
84', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
87', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Anazi A. ↑,
87', Baattia S. ↓, Bin Mahmoud ↑,
89', Atangana V. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Toney I. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 1.

Al-Ahli is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al Fateh's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al Fateh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.

We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:21. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:6. (average 2.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ahli SC	8	5	0	3	20:10	10	15
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.29 are the expected chance of winning is 72.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
03.05.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	4:0 ✺
29.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ET ✺
20.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW
- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
02.05.26	Al Fateh - Neom	2:2 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Al Fateh - Al-Khaleej	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Al Fateh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
26.12.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1
07.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	2:0
27.08.24	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:0
02.03.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	1:1
02.09.23	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	5:1
11.02.22	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1
17.09.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	1:1

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