The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ettifaq Dammam 36.6%
Draw 26%
Al Fateh 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
24.5%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
24.5%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ettifaq Dammam's form might have worsened.
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Fateh's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ettifaq Dammam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Fateh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
26.7%
13.3%
Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Al Fateh will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ettifaq: 39.2% – 89.4%.
1. Rodak M. (G) 33. Al Olayan M. 4. Hendry J. 70. Khateeb A. A. 37. Hindi A. 17. Al Ghannam K. 11. Duda O. 10. Medran A. 18. Costa J. 19. Kouka 8. Wijnaldum G. (C)
1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 44. Fernandes J. 17. Saadane M. 78. Al Swealem A. 33. Youssouf Z. 6. Masoud N. 11. Batna M. (C) 28. Bendebka S. 23. Wesley Delgado 10. Vargas M.
Substitutes
6. Al Ghamdi F. 29. Al Ghamdi Z. 7. Ali M. 61. Al Otaibi R. 58. Al Shammari Y. 71. Gluscevic M. 22. Hawswi (G) 24. Jalal Al Salem 3. Madu A.
94. Al Anazi A. 22. Al Burayh Mahmoud (G) 98. Al Fawaz A. 55. Al Hamad F. 29. Al Masoud A. 25. Al Sahafi M. 37. Al Sarnoukh M. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 12. Qasim H.
Coaches
Al Shehri S.
Gomes J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Al Ghannam K. ⚽, Costa J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Pacheco F. (Own goal),
34', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
36', 3 - 0, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Medran A. (A),
39', Hendry J. 🟨,
44', 3 - 1, Batna M. ⚽, Vargas M. (A),
45+4', 3 - 2, Bendebka S. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 4 - 2, Al Olayan M. ⚽,
53', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
62', Al Olayan M. ↓, Al Otaibi R. ↑,
64', Al Ghannam K. 🟨,
66', Costa J. 🟨,
71', 4 - 3, Batna M. ⚽,
74', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Gluscevic M. ↑,
75', Kouka ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
75', Masoud N. ↓, Al Sahihi M. ↑,
76', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,
83', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
89', Costa J. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
90+5', Khateeb A. A. 🟨,
90+8', Al Swealem A. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 1.
Recent performances by Al-Ettifaq have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al Fateh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ettifaq won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).