Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 13

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Fateh		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.42	3.4	2.62
	2.45	3.68	2.6
	2.4	3.1	2.5
	2.42	3.28	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.28)	3.39 ↓ (3.57)	2.55 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
37.4%

Draw
26.9%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Al Fateh - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Al-Shabab will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al Fateh (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 44. Fernandes J. 4. Al Jari Z. 17. Saadane M. (C) 98. Al Fawaz A. 6. Masoud N. 11. Batna M. 28. Bendebka S. 23. Wesley Delgado 10. Vargas M.	43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 5. Makki A. 4. Hoedt W. 31. Balobaid S. 8. Brownhill J. 6. Al Subiani F. 22. Al Hammami H. 29. Adli Y. 10. Carrasco Y. (C) 13. Carlos Junior
Substitutes
80. Al Abdulwahed F. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 29. Al Masoud A. 25. Al Sahihi M. 37. Al Sarnoukh M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 78. Al Swealem A. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 33. Youssouf Z.	19. Abdullah M. 34. Al Anzi S. 23. Al Awardi A. (G) 66. Al Gulaymish N. 60. Al Otaibi M. (G) 15. Al Saadi N. 72. Al Sadi N. 63. Jaman A. 37. Matuq A.
Coaches
Gomes J.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bendebka S. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
17', Al Jari Z. ↓, Al Swealem A. ↑,
19', Al Sibyani H. K. A. 🟨,
27', Al Subiani F. 🟨,
41', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Al Gulaymish N. ↑,
45+1', Batna M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Al Subiani F. 🟨,
56', Carrasco Y. 🟨,
58', Baattia S. 🟨,
60', Al Fawaz A. ↓, Youssouf Z. ↑,
62', Makki A. 🟥,
65', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
79', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Masoud A. ↑,
79', Saadane M. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
88', Al Hammami H. ↓, Abdullah M. ↑,
88', Carlos Junior ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
90+4', Masoud N. ↓, Al Sahihi M. ↑,
90+4', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Al Zubaidi F. ⚽,
90+6', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 1.

Recent performances by Al Fateh have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Shabab is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Last Results with these Odds

Al Fateh - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
29.12.25	Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
29.11.25	Al-Hilal - Al Fateh	4:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.11.25	Al-Hilal - Al Fateh	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al Fateh - Al-Taawoun	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLLL
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
31.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
23.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Rayyan	2:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
29.11.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	4:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.11.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
01.05.25	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:1
05.12.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	2:2
27.05.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	3:2
15.12.23	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1
Saudi King Cup
31.10.23	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 ET
Saudi Professional League
03.05.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:0
26.12.22	Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	4:1

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