Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 3

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)


	Al-Gharafa		Al-Khor

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.78	2.49
	2.63	4.02	2.21	Watch
	2.44	3.7	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.58)	3.83 ↓ (4.76)	2.34 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
36.9%

Draw
23.9%

Al-Khor
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

19.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

18.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.

Al-Khor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Khor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Khor than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Khor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Al Gharafa - Al Khor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Khor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Khor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Al-Gharafa (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Khor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kahiout H. (G) 33. Abdulnasir C. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 55. Al Rayami N. 17. Boussafi R. 7. Coman F. 14. Djalo A. 5. Essam M. (C) 99. Hamed J. 27. Holgate M. 25. Tamer I.	1. Gustavo Lacerda (G) 4. Anad A. 10. Awad A. 11. Gomes R. 94. Hanni S. 12. Mahmoudi K. 15. Mubarak N. (C) 80. Oyekanmi A. 3. Saeed I. 2. Smiri K. 27. Yahia J.
Substitutes
. Abdolmajio N. 41. Abushanab A. 45. Al Ashwal W. . Alhallabi A. . Hani R. 30. Hossam Elawwad I. . Mosaad I. . Nady A. . Oraby O. 77. Saaed Ahmed Y. . Sharaan M. . Yazidi M.	. Abdullah M. 16. Al Harazi A. 5. Ali Y. 20. Al Mohanadi A. 22. Al Shaibah A. (G) 6. Bahzad T. 70. Boussawi Y. 19. Hassan M. 17. Tombari M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 46:24. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 32:9. (average 3.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
AFC Champions League
29.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
25.09.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
22.09.25	Muaither - Al-Gharafa	5:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.25	Al-Sharjah - Al-Gharafa	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTL
- Al-Khor SC
Qatar QSL Cup
24.09.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Khor	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Al-Khor - Al-Waab	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Khor - Al Bidda	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
26.08.25	Lusail City - Al-Khor	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Al-Khor - Muaither	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar Emir Cup
06.05.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	2:1
Qatar QSL
11.01.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	3:1
Qatar QSL Cup
11.11.24	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	3:0
Qatar QSL
09.08.24	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	0:0
10.02.22	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	1:1
Qatar QSL Cup
13.12.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	4:1
15.11.21	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	4:2

Upcoming Matches