Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Q Football Asia, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Al-Hilal		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.05	17.00	29.00
	1.03	14.00	29.00	Watch
	1.04	14.52	22.00
	1.05	12.54	35.63	Watch
	1.02	8.00	23.00
	1.04	15.00	39.00	Watch
	1.03	10.00	29.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.1)	13.01 ↑ (8.82)	29.52 ↑ (17.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
89.7%

Draw
7.2%

Al-Gharafa
3.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.2%

10.5%

5.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Al Hilal - Al Gharafa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Bono (G) 2. Mahzari M. 3. Koulibaly K. 4. Akcicek Y. 6. Al Dawsari N. (C) 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 8. Neves R. 70. Bouabre S. 7. Martinelli G. 75. Meite M. 38. Summerville C.	31. Kone A. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 4. Sano S. 2. Al Rashidi A. 29. Diaz F. 13. Sassi F. (C) 23. Fadlalla S. 10. Bennacer I. 96. Ounas A. 9. Magri F.
Substitutes
93. Al Anazi A. 77. Al Habashi N. 24. Al Harbi M. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 33. Al Owais M. (G) 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 73. Al Sarnoukh M. 96. Al Zaid S. 28. Kanno M. 27. Mandash S. 87. Tambakti H.	90. Aladin H. 26. Al Ali R. 7. Coman F. 49. Faragalla R. 34. Gamal M. (G) 22. Hassan A. 27. Holgate M. 97. Mohamed A. 1. N'Diaye K. (G) 11. Surag A. 6. Traore D.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Martins P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Summerville C. 🟥,
33', Bennacer I. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 0, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Al Rashidi A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
66', Akcicek Y. ↓, Tambakti H. ↑,
66', Bouabre S. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
66', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
69', Diaz F. 🟨,
69', Ounas A. ↓, Aladin H. ↑,
71', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
81', Meite M. ↓, Al Habashi N. ↑,
82', Diaz F. ↓, Holgate M. ↑,
90', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Al Zaid S. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Aladin H. ⚽, Al Oui A. (A),

Preview

Al-Hilal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Gharafa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Hilal is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
12.09.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
07.09.26	Al-Hilal - Neom	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Hilal	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW
- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
11.09.26	Al-Gharafa - Lusail City	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:1 ✺
Qatar Cup
01.09.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.08.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
03.11.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal	1:2
03.12.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Gharafa	3:0
15.05.12	Al-Hilal - Al-Gharafa	N/A

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