Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 11

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Qadisiya		Damac

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	11
	1.24	5.5	11
	1.26	5.66	10.54	Watch
	1.2	5.5	11
	1.25	6.5	13	Watch
	1.25	5.66	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.29)	5.68 ↑ (5.47)	11.26 ↑ (8.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
75.3%

Draw
16.4%

Damac
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

17.1%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Al Qadisiya - Damac Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Al-Qadisiya (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Casteels K. (G) 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 8. Nandez N. 5. Weigl J. 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 33. Quinones J. 32. Retegui M.	1. Kewin (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 15. Harkass J. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 13. Al Obaid A. 7. Al Qahtani A. 8. Vada V. 26. Sharahili R. 20. Al Anazi D. 2. Sylla M. 90. Al Ghamdi H.
Substitutes
7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 15. Al Qahtani H. 9. Al Salem A. 71. Al Thani M. 11. Hazazi A. A. 87. Lajami Q. 14. Rajab S. 4. Thakri J.	6. Abdullah T. 33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 23. Al Hassan J. 12. Al Hawsawi S. 88. Al Samiri K. 28. Medina J. 80. Naji Y. 5. Rabea H.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Evangelista A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Vada V. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Retegui M. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
45+3', Vada V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Abu Al Shamat M. 🟨,
68', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
72', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Rajab S. ↑,
76', Sylla M. 🟨,
79', Al Khaibre A. R. 🟥,
83', Al Ghamdi H. ↓, Al Hawsawi S. ↑,
83', Vada V. ↓, Rabea H. ↑,
86', Bedrane A. 🟨,
87', Quinones J. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
90+6', Sharahili R. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
90+6', Al Anazi D. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Recent performances by Al-Qadisiya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi King Cup
28.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	4:3 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Hazem	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
22.11.25	Damac - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	Al-Riyadh - Damac	1:1 ✺
30.10.25	Damac - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Al-Taawoun - Damac	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
14.03.25	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	1:0
25.10.24	Al-Qadisiya - Damac	2:1
06.02.21	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	2:2

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