Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 14

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	on.cc
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.58	4.45	4.55
	1.59	4.34	4.64	Watch
	1.53	4	4.2
	1.55	4.3	4.5	Watch
	1.57	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	4.27 ↑ (4.17)	4.5 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
58.3%

Draw
21.4%

Al-Qadisiya
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

21.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1.5 - Al-Nassr (2.35) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 19 - 95%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 23. Yahya A. 20. Angelo 11. Brozovic M. 17. Al Khaibari A. 21. Coman K. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C.	1. Casteels K. (G) 17. Alvarez G. 4. Thakri J. 6. Fernandez N. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 5. Weigl J. 8. Nandez N. 11. Hazazi A. A. 33. Quinones J. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
19. Al Hassan A. 96. Al Nasser S. 4. Al Sharari N. 70. Aman A. 24. Bento (G) 77. Camara H. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M. 80. Wesley	7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 15. Al Qahtani H. 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 71. Al Thani M. 87. Lajami Q. 40. Mahnashi I. 14. Rajab S.
Coaches
Jesus J.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
59', Angelo 🟨,
65', Casteels K. ↓, Al Kassar A. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Nandez N. ⚽,
69', Bonsu Baah C. 🟨,
70', Alvarez G. 🟨,
74', Yahya A. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
74', Angelo ↓, Wesley ↑,
79', Nandez N. 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Ronaldo C. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Brozovic M. 🟨,
87', Hazazi A. A. 🟨,
87', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
90+5', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
90+5', Brozovic M. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
90+5', Nandez N. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
90+11', Abu Al Shamat M. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).

Al-Nassr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Qadisiya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Nassr is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
2	Al Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	12	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
02.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Zawraa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWWW
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
04.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	4:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Qadisiya - Damac	1:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	4:3 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
18.04.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1
22.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2
18.02.21	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:0
13.04.12	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	N/A

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