The best margin for this event is -0.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Hilal 64.9%
Draw 18.6%
Al-Sadd 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
22.3%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
21.6%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+44.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.
Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-40.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Sadd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-45.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+42.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Sadd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Al Hilal - Al Sadd Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Bono (G) 24. Al Harbi M. 87. Tambakti H. 78. Lajami A. 19. Hernandez T. 8. Neves R. 23. Mandash S. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 28. Kanno M. 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 90. Benzema K.
22. Barsham M. (G) 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 29. Saiss R. 6. Paulo Otavio 4. Camara M. 33. Claudinho 80. Soria A. 9. Roberto Firmino 7. Afif A. (C) 19. Mujica R.
Substitutes
16. Al Dawsari N. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 44. Al Mutairi S. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 32. Al Zaid A. 70. Bouabre S. 14. Darisi A. 9. Marcos Leonardo 30. Mari P. 75. Meite M. 25. Patouillet M. (G)
31. Abdullla Y. (G) 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 13. Al Yazidi A. 8. Asad A. 66. Bakri Al Ameen A. 24. Dilrosun J. 3. El Hannach Y. 21. Giovani 5. Salman T. 37. Suhail A.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.
Mancini R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Hernandez T. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Claudinho ⚽, Saiss R. (A),
45+3', Afif A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Camara M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Mujica R. ⚽, Claudinho (A),
65', Mandash S. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
65', Lajami A. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
67', 3 - 2, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Benzema K. (A),
70', 3 - 3, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Soria A. (A),
76', Pedro Miguel 🟨,
83', Kanno M. 🟨,
85', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
85', Kanno M. ↓, Bouabre S. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Al Harbi M. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
101', Marcos Leonardo 🟨,
102', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
114', Hernandez T. ↓, Darisi A. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Roberto Firmino (Penalty Awarded),
1, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Soria A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Marcos Leonardo (Penalty Awarded),
3, Claudinho (Penalty Awarded),
3, Benzema K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mujica R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bouabre S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Afif A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Postponed due to safety reasons. First leg.
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Al-Sadd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Hilal is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
Watch
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Bono (G) 
Al Harbi M. 
Hernandez T. 
Neves R. 
Milinkovic-Savic S. 
Barsham M. (G) 
Paulo Otavio 
Camara M. 
Soria A. 
Mujica R. 
Dilrosun J. 
Inzaghi S. 
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