Match Info

League Cup - Round 4

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)


	Al-Ittihad Alexandria		Zamalek

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.4	9.3
	1.28	6.11	8.12
	1.3	4.8	7
	1.34	5.25	7.42	Watch
	1.32	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (5.72)	5.31 ↑ (3.97)	7.87 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ittihad Alexandria
71%

Draw
17.3%

Zamalek
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

23.2%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

22.5%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+54.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ittihad Alexandria's performance.

Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-49%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamalek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-55.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ittihad Alexandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+51%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamalek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Al Ittihad Alexandria - Zamalek Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Zamalek will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 82.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Al-Ittihad (1.06) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Al-Ittihad (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ittihad Alexandria will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Zamalek (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Genesh M. (G) 4. Alaa M. 37. Atef A. 17. El Deeb K. 9. Farid F. 5. Ibrahim M. 23. Isaac S. 15. Liadi A. 88. Mahmoud A. 14. Mohamed A. (C) 35. Nagy A.	46. El Shenawy M. (G) 49. Abdelmaguid H. 55. Hamad M. 52. Ibrahim M. 80. Khaled A. 97. Khodary M. 96. Magdy A. 43. Osama H. 51. Wael A. 44. Wael Y. 88. Yasser A. (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Farid F. ⚽, Liadi A. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Farid F. ⚽, Mahmoud A. (A),
29', Mahmoud A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', El Deeb K. ↓, Tony M. ↑,
60', Atef A. ↓, Canaria ↑,
60', Nagy A. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
60', Hamad M. ↓, Osama H. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Ebuka J. ⚽, Tony M. (A),
65', Wael Y. 🟨,
74', Yasser A. ↓, Hossary M. ↑,
74', Wael Y. ↓, Medhat Z. ↑,
79', Khodary M. 🟨,
86', Isaac S. ↓, Alaa A. ↑,
86', Liadi A. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
86', Khodary M. ↓, Farag M. ↑,
86', Wael A. ↓, El Teki H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 0.

Recent form of Al-Ittihad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zamalek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ittihad is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:35. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian League Cup
24.12.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Smouha - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
11.12.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
29.11.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:1 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
23.11.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Gouna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTLL
- Zamalek
Egyptian Cup
28.12.25	Zamalek - Baladeyet El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
25.12.25	Zamalek - Smouha	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Zamalek - Haras El-Hodood	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Zamalek	3:3 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
29.11.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Zamalek	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
29.12.24	Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:0
27.05.24	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Zamalek	0:2
11.04.24	Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	3:0
05.06.23	Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:1
11.01.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Zamalek	0:0
23.08.22	Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:1
19.04.22	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Zamalek	0:2

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