Match Info

Stars League - Round 27

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa, Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Kahraba		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.95	3.45
	2.14	3.04	3.43	Watch
	2.12	2.95	3.47
	2.12	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kahraba
42.9%

Draw
30.7%

Naft Al-Basra
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kahraba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Naft Al-Basra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kahraba than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Kahraba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Al Kahraba - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Abdulkareem H. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Ramadan W. ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Kahraba won 2.

Recent matches Al-Kahraba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Naft Al-Basra has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Kahraba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Kahraba will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Al-Kahraba won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Kahraba won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kahraba
Iraqi Premier League
04.04.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Kahraba	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Al-Kahraba - Arbil	3:1 ✺
13.03.25	Al-Kahraba - Karbala	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Al-Kahraba - Diyala	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Kahraba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTTL
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
08.04.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Basra	3:1 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Naft Maysan	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Karma - Naft Al-Basra	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
07.11.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Kahraba	2:1
13.07.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Kahraba	2:0
08.03.24	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	3:1
20.04.23	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	2:2
15.04.22	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	2:1
22.11.20	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	1:1
27.06.13	Al-Kahraba - Naft Al-Basra	N/A

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