Match Info

Stars League - Round 26

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya		Naft Al-Basra

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6.25
	1.49	3.5	7
	1.49	3.52	7.49	Watch
	1.44	3.58	7.95
	1.49	3.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)	7.14 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
61.4%

Draw
25.9%

Naft Al-Basra
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya's performance.

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Al-Basra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Al-Basra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Naft Al Basra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Abdulnabi A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Tahseen Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 2 - 1, Ouro-Agoro I. (Pen),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3.

Recent matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Naft Al-Basra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Naft Al-Basra have a series of home games.

In this match Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
30.03.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	4:0 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Newroz - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Iraqi Cup
26.02.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWTW
- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
30.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Naft Maysan	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Karma - Naft Al-Basra	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Karbala	0:0 ✺
18.02.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
06.10.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2
19.06.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:3
01.03.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	0:0
06.02.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	0:1
01.03.21	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	3:2
31.10.20	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2
23.07.19	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra	2:1

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