Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 7

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Al-Karkh		Karbala

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.29	2.88	3.31
	2.28	2.87	3.32	Watch
	2.31	2.72	3.36	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.02)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.27 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
40.2%

Draw
32%

Karbala
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

31.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Karbala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Karkh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Al Karkh - Karbala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Abu Taha M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Abu Taha M. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Abdulqader A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Al-Karkh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al-Karkh will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Karkh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Karkh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
02.11.24	Duhok - Al-Karkh	1:3 ✺
30.10.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karkh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTLWL
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
01.11.24	Al-Hudood - Karbala	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Naft Maysan - Karbala	0:0 ✺
25.10.24	Karbala - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Zakho - Karbala	5:0 ✺
27.09.24	Karbala - Najaf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.06.24	Karbala - Al-Karkh	2:1
08.12.23	Al-Karkh - Karbala	1:2
29.10.22	Al-Karkh - Karbala	1:0

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