Match Info

Stars League - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Al-Karma		Newroz

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.15
	1.52	3.84	5.18
	1.56	3.87	5.16
	1.53	3.4	5
	1.59	3.63	5.7
	1.8	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)	3.61 ↑ (3.2)	5.03 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karma
56.9%

Draw
25.1%

Newroz
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Karma's performance.

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Karma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+4%)

Al Karma - Newroz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+10', Mohsin A. 🟥,
90+11', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).

Al-Karma is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Newroz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Karma is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Karma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
26.04.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Karma - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Najaf - Al-Karma	0:3 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Karma - Duhok	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTWW
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
27.04.26	Newroz - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Talaba - Newroz	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Najaf - Newroz	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Newroz - Al-Minaa	4:1 ✺
08.04.26	Newroz - Al-Karkh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
27.01.26	Newroz - Al-Karma	0:1
04.03.25	Al-Karma - Newroz	2:0
06.11.24	Newroz - Al-Karma	1:3

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