Match Info

Stars League - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Najaf		Al-Karma

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.3	1.65
	4.97	3.31	1.64
	5.02	3.39	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.1	1.67
	4.75	3.38	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↓ (5.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.74)	1.66 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
18.4%

Draw
27.4%

Al-Karma
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

24.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

23.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Al-Karma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Karma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Najaf - Al Karma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Hussein A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
81', 0 - 2, Hussein A. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Abd Majbas O. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Najaf has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Karma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Karma is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
08.04.26	Al-Talaba - Najaf	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
27.03.26	Diyala - Najaf	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Najaf - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWL
- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
08.04.26	Al-Karma - Duhok	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Karma	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Al-Karma - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Zakho - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
05.01.26	Al-Karma - Najaf	2:0
28.04.25	Najaf - Al-Karma	0:3
15.01.25	Al-Karma - Najaf	1:0

Najaf - Al-Karma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide