Match Info

Stars League - Round 29

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Najaf		Newroz

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.2	1.72
	4.74	3.24	1.69
	4.76	3.29	1.73
	4.75	3	1.73
	5.05	3.24	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.56)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
18.9%

Draw
28.3%

Newroz
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

25.5%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

24.5%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Najaf - Newroz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Fariq R. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Ridha F. ⚽,
90+4', Claudio Maradona 🟥,
90+14', 2 - 1, Louay A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Najaf is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newroz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Newroz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Newroz is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
12.04.26	Najaf - Al-Karma	0:3 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Talaba - Najaf	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
27.03.26	Diyala - Najaf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLLW
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
13.04.26	Newroz - Al-Minaa	4:1 ✺
08.04.26	Newroz - Al-Karkh	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Diyala - Newroz	1:1 ✺
31.03.26	Newroz - Naft Maysan	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Newroz - Al-Gharraf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
20.02.26	Newroz - Najaf	2:0
08.05.25	Najaf - Newroz	0:1
25.10.24	Newroz - Najaf	2:1
23.06.24	Newroz - Najaf	0:3
24.11.22	Najaf - Newroz	2:1

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