Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 5

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Al Janoub Stadium (Al Wakrah)


	Al-Wakrah		Al-Kharitiyath

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.23
	2	3.32	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	3.54 ↓ (3.78)	3.3 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wakrah
46.6%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Kharitiyath
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wakrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Al-Kharitiyath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kharitiyath than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Al Wakrah - Al Kharitiyath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 🟥,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 3.

Al-Wakrah has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Kharitiyath has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Wakrah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Kharitiyath has had a series of away games.

Al-Wakrah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wakrah won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar QSL Cup
03.10.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Mesaimeer	2:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.09.25	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	3:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
23.09.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Wakrah	4:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLTL
- Al-Kharitiyath SC
Qatar QSL Cup
02.10.25	Al Duhail - Al-Kharitiyath	0:4 ✺
24.09.25	Qatar SC - Al-Kharitiyath	1:4 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	5:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
26.08.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
10.04.21	Al-Kharitiyath - Al-Wakrah	0:2
Qatar Emir Cup
25.01.21	Al-Wakrah - Al-Kharitiyath	1:2
Qatar QSL
28.12.20	Al-Wakrah - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1
Qatar QSL Cup
15.11.20	Al-Wakrah - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1 penalties
Qatar QSL
14.04.18	Al-Kharitiyath - Al-Wakrah	2:1
08.01.17	Al-Kharitiyath - Al-Wakrah	2:1
24.09.16	Al-Wakrah - Al-Kharitiyath	1:2

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