Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 26 February 2024, Monday


	Al-Kholood		Al-Arabi Al-Saudi

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.66	3.05	2.5
	2.72	3.19	2.52
	2.9	3	2.15
	3.26	3.13	2.13	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.47)	3.07 ↑ (2.83)	2.35 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
31.9%

Draw
29.5%

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

32.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

32.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Kholood's form might have worsened.

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Kholood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Kholood - Al Arabi Al Saudi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 7).

Al-Kholood is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al-Arabi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Kholood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Kholood won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Division 1
20.02.24	Al Jandal - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Batin	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Bukayriyah	2:0 ✺
31.01.24	Al-Najma - Al-Kholood	0:1 ✺
24.01.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Jabalain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWT
- Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Division 1
20.02.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Safa	0:1 ✺
12.02.24	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:0 ✺
06.02.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Jabalain	1:0 ✺
01.02.24	Hajer - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Jeddah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
19.09.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Kholood	1:2
14.02.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Kholood	2:2
12.09.22	Al-Kholood - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:2

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