Match Info

Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Department of Education Stadium (Unaizah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi		Al-Jabalain

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.15	1.95
	5.43	4.09	1.51
	5.5	3.6	1.5
	5.21	3.96	1.6
	5.75	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.97)	3.76 ↑ (3.42)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
18.2%

Draw
24.6%

Al-Jabalain
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.6%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

25.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Al-Jabalain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Jabalain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Jabalain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Al Arabi Al Saudi - Al Jabalain Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al-Jabalain will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Jabalain: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Bahrani B. (G) 17. Abed A. 14. Faqihi S. 2. Al Masoudi A. 70. Daqarshawi A. 8. Udo S. 6. Al Haribi A. 12. Al Jaadi T. 26. Al Zaqan A. 20. Ciss A. 33. Al Hunaidi R.	30. Al Waked M. (G) 27. Al Nuweqi H. 4. Queiros D. 5. Al Nakhli I. 20. Al Harbi A. 3. Al Bukhari A. 10. Pessoa P. 6. Madani I. 7. Novais J. 11. Cinari E. 9. Toure C.
Substitutes
11. Acosta N. 92. Al Aseel F. 44. Al Mushawh A. (G) 88. Al Muthin N. 47. Al Salem M. 96. Al Wahabi S. 55. Housawi A. 3. Sheldon 10. Waheeb W.	99. Al Dossari F. 1. Al Ghubaini A. (G) 12. Al Harbi F. 2. Al Mutairi N. 17. Al Rshaidan Y. 18. Al-Shammari K. S. 55. Al Shammari Z. 8. Al Terais F. 15. Ashraf A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Madani I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Madani I. ↓, Al-Shammari K. S. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Cinari E. ⚽, Toure C. (A),
58', Al Haribi A. 🟨,
59', Al Bukhari A. 🟨,
65', Al Hunaidi R. ↓, Waheeb W. ↑,
65', Al Haribi A. ↓, Sheldon ↑,
71', Al Bukhari A. ↓, Al Shammari Z. ↑,
84', Cinari E. ↓, Ashraf A. ↑,
84', Pessoa P. ↓, Al Harbi F. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Al Shammari Z. ⚽,
89', Al-Shammari K. S. 🟨,
89', Al Masoudi A. ↓, Al Salem M. ↑,
90+2', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Al Mutairi N. ↑,
90+3', Ciss A. ↓, Al Muthin N. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 1.

Al-Arabi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Jabalain has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Jabalain is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Jabalain	6	2	3	1	4:4	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Division 1
05.01.26	Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Batin	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Zulfi - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWT
- Al-Jabalain FC
Saudi Division 1
06.01.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
11.02.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:3
16.09.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Jabalain	2:2
06.02.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Jabalain	1:0
28.08.23	Al-Jabalain - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:3
03.05.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Jabalain	0:0
21.12.22	Al-Jabalain - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:2

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Jabalain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide