Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Najma		Al-Kholood

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	2.98	3.45	2.2
	3.18	3.62	2.17
	3.03	3.66	2.17
	2.9	3.25	2.05
	3.45	3.6	2.16	Watch
	3	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.87)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
30.1%

Draw
26.6%

Al-Kholood
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Al Najma - Al Kholood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Braga (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 4. Al Haleel N. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 27. Al Subaie K. 98. Boutobba B. 80. Dunga N. 16. Guga 43. Tijanic D. 70. Felippe Cardoso 7. Lazaro	31. Cozzani J. (G) 23. Gyomber N. 3. Utkus E. 38. Pinas S. (C) 46. Al Aliwa A. 6. Buckley J. 96. N'Doram K. 70. Sawan M. 7. Al Shehri S. 18. Enrique R. 10. Kortajarena I.
Substitutes
90. Al Aqel M. S. M. 77. Al Dubais H. 87. Al Enezi W. (G) 66. Al Essa S. 33. Al Fatil M. 18. Al Harabi A. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 6. Al Shammari K. 23. Al Tulayhi R.	24. Adi A. 12. Al Asmari H. 39. Al Dawsari A. 4. Al Dosari J. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 19. Khalifah M.
Coaches
El Maestro N.	Buckingham D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Felippe Cardoso ⚽, Lazaro (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Al Shehri S. ↓, Al Asmari H. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Boutobba B. ⚽, Felippe Cardoso (A),
65', Dunga N. ↓, Al Harabi A. ↑,
66', Sawan M. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
68', N'Doram K. 🟨,
73', N'Doram K. ↓, Khalifah M. ↑,
81', Boutobba B. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
81', Tijanic D. ↓, Al Shammari K. ↑,
82', Cozzani J. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Enrique R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Lazaro 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).

Al-Najma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Kholood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Kholood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Al Kholood	8	3	3	2	12:15	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
05.02.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Najma	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Najma	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
20.01.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTLT
- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
07.02.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Damac - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Kholood	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	1:0 ET
Saudi Professional League
17.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	5:1
Saudi Division 1
31.01.24	Al-Najma - Al-Kholood	0:1
20.08.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	2:2

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