Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 9

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Kholood		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.28	3.45	2.82
	1.86	3.67	3.83
	1.72	4.11	4.07	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.72)	3.6 ↓ (4.11)	3.25 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
45.2%

Draw
26%

Al Hazem
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

22.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

19.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Kholood's form might have worsened.

Al Hazem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Hazem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Al Kholood - Al Hazem Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al-Kholood will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Al Hazem will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Kholood: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cozzani J. (G) 8. Al Safari A. 5. Troost-Ekong W. (C) 23. Gyomber N. 38. Pinas S. 11. Bahebri H. 96. N'Doram K. 6. Buckley J. 46. Al Aliwa A. S. 70. Sawan M. 18. Enrique R.	14. Varela B. (G) 4. Tanker S. 32. Rosier L. (C) 34. Al Dakheel A. 2. Al Rashid S. 10. Martins F. 6. Al Sayyali B. 19. Al Habashi N. 27. Al Nakhli A. 17. Mokwana E. 9. Al Somah O.
Substitutes
12. Al Asmari H. 39. Al Dawsari A. 4. Al Dosari J. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 7. Al Shehri S. 99. Guga 24. Hussein U. 19. Khalifah M. 15. Solan R.	26. Al Dhuwayhi A. 8. Al Harajin A. 82. Al Harbi A. 7. Al Shammari Y. 70. Al Shamrani A. 5. Al Yami M. 3. Boutouil A. 80. Carvalho M. 23. Zaied I. (G)
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Kadri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Enrique R. ⚽, Al Aliwa A. S. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Mokwana E. ⚽,
36', Gyomber N. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Al Somah O. (Pen),
43', Al Sayyali B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Rosier L. 🟨,
65', N'Doram K. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
73', Sawan M. ↓, Guga ↑,
73', Al Safari A. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
82', Bahebri H. ↓, Khalifah M. ↑,
83', Mokwana E. ↓, Al Dhuwayhi A. ↑,
87', Al Dakheel A. 🟨,
89', Al Habashi N. ↓, Boutouil A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Al-Kholood has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al Hazem's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Kholood is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Kholood won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
06.11.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood	4:0 ✺
30.10.25	Al-Kholood - Neom	2:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Najma	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW
- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
06.11.25	Al Hazem - Al-Khaleej	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Hazem	2:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Hazem	3:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
25.10.25	Al Hazem - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al Hazem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
20.02.23	Al-Kholood - Al Hazem	0:2
17.09.22	Al Hazem - Al-Kholood	1:1

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